Monday, April 20, 2009

The Hard Data for Mexico and Baja Norte... Protestants

I'm Just Wondering... about Mexican Protestantism and the advance of the Gospel in that country.

Here is the hard data, with source citations:

Basically, the Mexican 200 Census reports that 9.9% of the population are Protestants overall, and that in Baja California Norte, the percentage is 5.6%

The main data site, which was established in April 2006 by the Mexican Gov’t reports a great deal of different data than I had in my little notebook from previous Mexican government info.

Here it is:
http://www.inegi.org.mx/est/contenidos/espanol/rutinas/ept.asp?t=mrel08&s=est&c=2589
Here are the big numbers (some obtained from other parts of the main site www.inegi.org/mx :
(important to knote that my calculations are taken from the raw data: how the www site came up with some of their stated % stats is beyond me…)
Total Mexican Population, 2005 Census 103,263,388
Total Mexican Protestants, 2000 Census 4 408 159
Calculated Percentage: 9.9 % (see note 1)
Total Population Baja Norte, 2005 Census 2,844,469
Total Baja Norte Protestants, 2000 158, 874
Calculated Percentage: 5.6 % (see note 2)

Commentary: Yes, there is a mixing of the 2005 and the 2000 census numbers. This is because the Mexican Government does census on general population every 5 years, but the demographics of religion are only done every 10 years.

Note 1: The percentage of Protestants to Population may be higher 2000-2005, but not less.
Note 2: The percentage mix of Protestants to Baja Population may have also shifted 2000-2005, but probably not less.
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Catholics
The Mexican gov’t site reports Catholics (people stating they were Catholics) as 88% of the total Population in 2000
http://www.inegi.org.mx/est/contenidos/espanol/sistemas/cgpv2000/religion/rel01.asp?s=est&c=11938

However, in another section, they break out that only 46% of those who stated they were Catholic attend weekly Catholic services.

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On the Catholic statistic, the other 42% may, as Patrick Johnstone infers in "Operation World" be reflective of 'cultural Catholics' who will respond "I am Catholic" in the Census, but only attend a church service on Christmas, baptisms, 15th birthdays, weddings and funerals...

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